And I will make the land of Egypt a desolation in the midst of desolated countries, and her cities shall be a desolation forty years among cities that are laid waste. I will scatter the Egyptians among the nations, and disperse them through the countries.
Ezekiel's word against Egypt reaches its lowest point here. The nation that once held Israel captive is now scattered itself. Two questions press. Why did God single out Egypt? And did a forty-year desolation ever happen?
Why the sentence fell
The judgment has stated grounds. One is the boast of the previous verses; the other is what Egypt had done to God's people when they leaned on her.
Numerical Bible NotesThere are two main causes. First, the pride and self-sufficiency we have already spoken of. Second, Egypt has been a breaking staff to Israel. It was a staff of reed, which offered much but never kept its promises, and it brought only ruin to all who trusted it. Going down to Egypt for help was the constant snare of the people of God, even though God had delivered them from that land... The lesson is as plain as it is basic. It is the lesson, "Cease from man, whose breath is in his nostrils, for of what account is he?"
The reversal
The force of the sentence lies in what Egypt had been. Her fields fed the ancient world.
William KellyEgypt would be struck, and struck most of all in what was its chief boast, its river. That grain store of the world, that garden of the earth, would become a wilderness for forty years. Its people would be scattered exiles. So great a chastening would Nebuchadnezzar inflict.
Border to border
Two towns named a few verses earlier mark the reach of the ruin, one at each end of the country.
Numerical Bible NotesEgypt was famous for its fertility. That fertility must therefore be turned into deserts and desolation from one end of the land to the other. Migdol stood on the east border of lower Egypt. Syene stood on the border of upper Egypt, where it met Cush, or Ethiopia. For a time the desolation would be extreme. More than that, the people would be scattered from the land, and the cities laid waste forty years.
The forty years and the historians
Does history record such a desolation? Commentators answer in two ways. One points to an old report of Nebuchadnezzar's invasion:
Morrish Bible DictionaryEzekiel was at Babylon. In his prophecy he foretells the humbling of Egypt and of their king, "the great dragon that lies in the midst of his rivers." Egypt would be made desolate for forty years, from Migdol to Syene, and on to the border of Ethiopia — from the north to the south. Abdallatif, an Arab writer, says that Nebuchadnezzar attacked Egypt and ruined the whole country because it sheltered the Jews who fled from him. He says it stayed desolate for forty years.
The other answer does not let history judge the prophecy:
Arno Clemens GaebeleinEgypt had such a period of forty years' devastation, though the exact history of it may not be known to us. Prophecy is not learned by historical events, but history is revealed in prophecy. We believe prophecies not because history has measured up to them, but because they are the inerrant Word of God.
Writers also note that Scripture counts round numbers in its own way. One points to the 400 and 430 years of Israel's stay in Egypt. A span like that can be fixed by where it ends, rather than by both ends. On that reading, these forty years run down to about the time the Babylonian empire fell (Numerical Bible Notes).
A sentence with a limit
The forty years is a limit as well as a punishment.
William KellyBut how clear the mouth and the hand of God! It was a measured sentence. The trouble would come for certain, and its worst would end just as certainly, according to His word.
What Egypt became
What followed the forty years? A return, but not a recovery.
Numerical Bible NotesAt the end of the forty years, God announces a certain measure of restoration. Egypt would come back, but as a low kingdom: never ruling the nations again, and never again the confidence of Israel. This has been Egypt's condition since, as is well known. Under the Ptolemies, the later kings of Egypt, it might seem to be something more than this. Even then it was the foreigner who had possession of the country, and Egypt has been in foreign hands ever since. The more the power that reigned over them lifted itself up, the more was the burden on the people under it.
Summary
- Cause: two things brought Egypt down — proud self-sufficiency, and a reed-staff promise that broke under all who leaned on it.
- Measure: God fixed the term. Forty years marked the length of the ruin and the end of it.
- Reach: the blow covered the whole land, border to border. No Egyptian stood outside it.
- Evidence: commentators differ on how much history survives. They agree on the rule — read history by prophecy, not prophecy by history.
- Result: Egypt came back, but came back low — never a ruling power again, and never again Israel's confidence.